Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 22.841120 26.446581 30.368847 34.943894 40.124659 45.799902 52.477918
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.152698 20.931494 26.655036 33.973180 43.035145 53.838320 67.637510
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 12.590793 17.849022 24.642697 33.968198 46.325659 62.014880 83.295879
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 10.315900 15.779161 23.300591 34.247940 49.575904 70.043089 99.155818
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.013235 13.166580 20.694492 32.258413 49.280442 73.062113 108.347266
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.047282 12.303092 20.372459 33.335599 53.216947 82.033181 126.264677
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.433596 11.861063 20.572568 35.131995 58.278397 92.913806 147.654466
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.415446 10.569816 19.233608 34.314508 59.183898 97.615953 160.165395
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.448355 9.194408 17.547641 32.684286 58.556299 99.808114 168.873012
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.225887 9.135612 18.091942 34.832450 64.241132 112.259521 194.388875
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.167098 9.375067 19.180794 38.014207 71.899562 128.378372 226.774072
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.740307 8.812837 18.717993 38.343436 74.625559 136.522426 246.614331
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.228363 8.021051 17.776864 37.798704 75.959396 142.772851 264.373362
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.729716 7.172750 16.619261 36.727940 76.276935 147.384692 279.864132
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.401643 6.646766 16.041218 36.716758 78.552817 155.590005 302.150346
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.143889 6.236362 15.645259 37.015448 81.426190 165.046578 327.251419
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.749655 5.400989 14.183456 34.882296 79.255505 164.987590 335.050718
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.623979 5.241532 14.240463 36.037191 83.841992 177.958502 367.711618
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.554539 5.222677 14.626128 37.962635 90.186437 194.718621 408.493405
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.341449 4.748826 13.831127 37.086509 90.488292 199.654668 426.974796
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.117696 4.188981 12.728132 35.338888 88.707165 200.268591 437.043838
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.096140 4.255976 13.272365 37.641618 96.129397 220.055508 486.110600
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.116751 4.464725 14.224472 41.050403 106.318942 246.141933 549.138218